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Copa Colombia · Colombia
Barranquilla vs Millonarios prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 23:10 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Barranquilla host Millonarios in the Copa Colombia (Colombia) on 3 Oct 2026, 23:10 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Barranquilla 1–1 Millonarios.
Going into the match, Barranquilla had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 18. Millonarios had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Barranquilla's last 10 and 7 of Millonarios's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barranquilla averaged 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Millonarios averaged 1.94 scored and 1.50 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Barranquilla and 2.39 from Millonarios. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 65%, against 14%, 24% and 62% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 87%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Barranquilla (green) and Millonarios (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barranquilla | LLLLW | 1.30 | 1.80 | 70% | 70% |
| Millonarios | DDWWD | 1.50 | 1.00 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Millonarios Win | 62% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Millonarios HT & FT | 42% | 2.20 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.