Barra vs Santa Catarina prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 12Odds 1.24Market probability 72%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Barra host Santa Catarina in the Copa Santa Catarina (Brazil) on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.24, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Barra had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 17. Santa Catarina had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Barra's last 10 and 6 of Santa Catarina's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barra averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Santa Catarina averaged 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from Barra and 1.66 from Santa Catarina. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 41%, against 40%, 28% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Barra (green) and Santa Catarina (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form43% – 57%

Attack64% – 36%

Defence48% – 52%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals57% – 43%

Overall strength57% – 42%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Barra	LDLDD	1.40	1.70	60%	50%
Santa Catarina	LLWDW	1.30	1.10	60%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	72%	1.24
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	67%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	67%	1.36
BTTS Yes	54%	1.70
Under 2.5 Goals	51%	1.85
Over 2.5 Goals	49%	1.95
Barra Win	40%	2.25
1-0	11%	8.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.