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Serie C - Girone C · Italy
Barletta vs Cavese prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Barletta host Cavese in the Serie C - Girone C (Italy) on 12 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Barletta 1–1 Cavese.
Going into the match, Barletta had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 18. Cavese had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Barletta's last 10 and 5 of Cavese's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barletta averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Cavese averaged 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Barletta and 1.45 from Cavese. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 37%, against 42%, 29% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Barletta (green) and Cavese (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 59% | 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.