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Liga 2 · Indonesia
Barito Putera vs Persiba Balikpapan prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Barito Putera host Persiba Balikpapan in the Liga 2 (Indonesia) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Barito Putera Win — Barito Putera to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Barito Putera 2–0 Persiba Balikpapan.
Going into the match, Barito Putera had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 8 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Persiba Balikpapan had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 9, with 9 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Barito Putera's last 8 and 5 of Persiba Balikpapan's last 9; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barito Putera averaged 3.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Persiba Balikpapan averaged 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.63 goals from Barito Putera and 0.74 from Persiba Balikpapan. From that it rates a home win at 77%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 7%, against 59%, 22% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Barito Putera (green) and Persiba Balikpapan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barito Putera | LDLWW | 2.50 | 1.88 | 75% | 63% |
| Persiba Balikpapan | LLLLW | 1.00 | 1.89 | 56% | 56% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Barito Putera 3–3 Persiba Balikpapan
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| Barito Putera Win | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.15 |
| Barito Putera HT & FT | 41% | 2.25 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.