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Liga 2 · Indonesia
Barito Putera vs Persela Lamongan prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Barito Putera host Persela Lamongan in the Liga 2 (Indonesia) on 4 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Barito Putera 0–1 Persela Lamongan.
Going into the match, Barito Putera had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 7 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 14. Persela Lamongan had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 7, with 17 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Barito Putera's last 7 and 2 of Persela Lamongan's last 7; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barito Putera averaged 3.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Persela Lamongan averaged 0.33 scored and 1.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Barito Putera and 1.17 from Persela Lamongan. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 29%, against 49%, 25% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Barito Putera (green) and Persela Lamongan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barito Putera | DLWWD | 2.86 | 2.00 | 86% | 71% |
| Persela Lamongan | WWWLD | 2.43 | 1.00 | 29% | 43% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Persela Lamongan 1–1 Barito Putera
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.56 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Barito Putera Win | 49% | 1.83 |
| Barito Putera HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.