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Tweede Divisie · Netherlands
Barendrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam II prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Barendrecht host Sparta Rotterdam II in the Tweede Divisie (Netherlands) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Sparta Rotterdam II to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Barendrecht 3–2 Sparta Rotterdam II.
Going into the match, Barendrecht had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 17. Sparta Rotterdam II had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Barendrecht's last 10 and 9 of Sparta Rotterdam II's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barendrecht averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Sparta Rotterdam II averaged 1.70 scored and 2.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.82 goals from Barendrecht and 1.86 from Sparta Rotterdam II. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 24%, against 39%, 22% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Barendrecht (green) and Sparta Rotterdam II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barendrecht | WWDDW | 1.60 | 1.70 | 80% | 60% |
| Sparta Rotterdam II | WDDDL | 2.60 | 2.00 | 90% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Sparta Rotterdam II 4–1 Barendrecht
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 64% | 1.43 |
| Double Chance 1X | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.78 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Sparta Rotterdam II Win | 39% | 2.30 |
| 1-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.