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Primera División Femenina · Spain
Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Barcelona W host Real Madrid W in the Primera División Femenina (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Barcelona W 7–0 Real Madrid W.
Going into the match, Barcelona W had won 10, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 42 and conceding 5. Real Madrid W had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Barcelona W's last 10 and 6 of Real Madrid W's last 10; 9 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barcelona W averaged 4.14 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Real Madrid W averaged 2.67 scored and 0.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.54 goals from Barcelona W and 0.76 from Real Madrid W. From that it rates a home win at 87%, a draw at 9% and an away win at 4%, against 81%, 12% and 6% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Barcelona W (green) and Real Madrid W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona W | WWWWW | 4.20 | 0.50 | 30% | 90% |
| Real Madrid W | DWDWW | 2.10 | 0.90 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona W HT & FT | 63% | 1.50 |
| Barcelona W 1st Half Win | 63% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 2-0 | 13% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.