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Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain

Barbastro vs Utebo prediction and preview

4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 12Odds 1.28Market probability 71%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Barbastro host Utebo in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Barbastro 1–1 Utebo.

Going into the match, Barbastro had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Utebo had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Barbastro's last 10 and 6 of Utebo's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barbastro averaged 2.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Utebo averaged 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Barbastro and 0.57 from Utebo. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 17%, against 37%, 28% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Barbastro (green) and Utebo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence50% – 50%
Head-to-head15% – 85%
Goals31% – 69%
Overall strength37% – 62%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
BarbastroDLDWL1.400.9050%50%
UteboLWDDL0.901.2060%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1271%1.28
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals63%1.48
Under 2.5 Goals56%1.67
BTTS No51%1.81
Over 2.5 Goals44%2.15
Barbastro Win37%2.40
1-012%8.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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