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Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Barbastro vs Utebo prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Barbastro host Utebo in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Barbastro 1–1 Utebo.
Going into the match, Barbastro had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Utebo had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Barbastro's last 10 and 6 of Utebo's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barbastro averaged 2.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Utebo averaged 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Barbastro and 0.57 from Utebo. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 17%, against 37%, 28% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Barbastro (green) and Utebo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Barbastro Win | 37% | 2.40 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.