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CONCACAF Nations League · International

Barbados vs Bermuda prediction and preview

3 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 63%Final score 4–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Barbados host Bermuda in the CONCACAF Nations League (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Barbados 4–1 Bermuda.

Going into the match, Barbados had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 2. Bermuda had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 3, with 3 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 1 of Barbados's last 2 and 2 of Bermuda's last 3; 1 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barbados averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Bermuda averaged 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded across 2.

The 1X2 prices imply about 50% for Barbados, 25% for the draw and 26% for Bermuda once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Barbados (green) and Bermuda (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form100% – 0%
Attack57% – 43%
Defence78% – 22%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals29% – 71%
Overall strength53% – 46%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
BarbadosDW2.001.0050%50%
BermudaLLL1.003.3367%100%

Averages over each side's last 3 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X75%1.25
BTTS 1st Half - No75%1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals73%1.28
Under 3.5 Goals63%1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals61%1.53
BTTS Yes59%1.57
Over 2.5 Goals58%1.62
Barbados Win50%1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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