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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Barakaldo vs Pontevedra prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Barakaldo host Pontevedra in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Pontevedra Under 1.5 Goals — Pontevedra Under 1.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Barakaldo had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Pontevedra had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Barakaldo's last 10 and 6 of Pontevedra's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barakaldo averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Pontevedra averaged 1.36 scored and 1.45 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Barakaldo and 1.12 from Pontevedra. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 32%, against 51%, 28% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barakaldo | DWLDD | 0.80 | 1.20 | 30% | 20% |
| Pontevedra | LWWLL | 1.20 | 1.30 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.67 |
| Barakaldo Win | 52% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.