Home › League stats › Primera División RFEF - Group 1 › Barakaldo vs Pontevedra

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain

Barakaldo vs Pontevedra prediction and preview

1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo

The PunterPick prediction

Pontevedra Under 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.20Market probability 78%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Barakaldo host Pontevedra in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Pontevedra Under 1.5 Goals — Pontevedra Under 1.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Barakaldo had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Pontevedra had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Barakaldo's last 10 and 6 of Pontevedra's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barakaldo averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Pontevedra averaged 1.36 scored and 1.45 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Barakaldo and 1.12 from Pontevedra. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 32%, against 51%, 28% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices.

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
BarakaldoDWLDD0.801.2030%20%
PontevedraLWWLL1.201.3060%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1273%1.25
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals71%1.33
Over 1.5 Goals66%1.40
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals66%1.44
Under 2.5 Goals58%1.65
BTTS No54%1.67
Barakaldo Win52%1.75
Over 2.5 Goals42%2.20

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match