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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Banfield vs Rosario Central prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 00:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Banfield host Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 6 Oct 2026, 00:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Banfield 1–1 Rosario Central.
Going into the match, Banfield had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Rosario Central had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Banfield's last 10 and 5 of Rosario Central's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Banfield averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Rosario Central averaged 1.14 scored and 1.07 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.92 goals from Banfield and 1.59 from Rosario Central. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 52%, against 21%, 29% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Banfield (green) and Rosario Central (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banfield | DDDLL | 1.10 | 1.60 | 70% | 50% |
| Rosario Central | WWWDL | 1.20 | 0.80 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.75 |
| Rosario Central Win | 50% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.