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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bałtyk Koszalin host Unia Swarzędz in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.43, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bałtyk Koszalin 1–1 Unia Swarzędz.
Going into the match, Bałtyk Koszalin had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 12. Unia Swarzędz had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Bałtyk Koszalin's last 10 and 4 of Unia Swarzędz's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bałtyk Koszalin averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Unia Swarzędz averaged 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from Bałtyk Koszalin and 1.31 from Unia Swarzędz. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 34%, against 33%, 24% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bałtyk Koszalin (green) and Unia Swarzędz (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bałtyk Koszalin | WWLLD | 1.50 | 1.20 | 70% | 50% |
| Unia Swarzędz | WWLLD | 1.70 | 1.70 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.61 |
| Unia Swarzędz Win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.