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Championship · Northern Ireland
Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ballinamallard United host Warrenpoint Town in the Championship (Northern Ireland) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ballinamallard United 2–2 Warrenpoint Town.
Going into the match, Ballinamallard United had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15. Warrenpoint Town had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Ballinamallard United's last 10 and 4 of Warrenpoint Town's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ballinamallard United averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Warrenpoint Town averaged 1.10 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from Ballinamallard United and 1.24 from Warrenpoint Town. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 29%, against 39%, 27% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ballinamallard United (green) and Warrenpoint Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballinamallard United | WDLWD | 1.70 | 1.50 | 70% | 60% |
| Warrenpoint Town | WDWLW | 1.90 | 1.20 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Ballinamallard United 0–1 Warrenpoint Town
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Ballinamallard United form and statistics
- Warrenpoint Town form and statistics
- Championship statistics
Other Championship matches that day
- Armagh City vs Annagh United · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 1–3 - Dundela vs Rathfriland · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 0–1 - Queen's University vs Newry City AFC · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance X2