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Third League - Southwest · Bulgaria
Balkan Botevgrad vs Natsional Sofia prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Balkan Botevgrad host Natsional Sofia in the Third League - Southwest (Bulgaria) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Balkan Botevgrad to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Going into the match, Balkan Botevgrad had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Natsional Sofia had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Balkan Botevgrad's last 10 and 6 of Natsional Sofia's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Balkan Botevgrad averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Natsional Sofia averaged 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from Balkan Botevgrad and 1.06 from Natsional Sofia. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 24%. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Balkan Botevgrad (green) and Natsional Sofia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balkan Botevgrad | LWDLW | 0.70 | 1.20 | 20% | 30% |
| Natsional Sofia | LDWLD | 1.20 | 1.90 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
- Balkan Botevgrad form and statistics
- Natsional Sofia form and statistics
- Third League - Southwest statistics
Other Third League - Southwest matches that day
- Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Third League - Southwest
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - CSKA Sofia III vs Chavdar Etropole · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Third League - Southwest
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Kyustendil vs Belasitsa · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Third League - Southwest
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Slivnishki geroy vs FK Minyor Pernik · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Third League - Southwest
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Slavia Sofia II vs Strumska Slava · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Third League - Southwest
Published pick: Double Chance 1X