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Birinci Dasta · Azerbaijan
Baku Sportinq vs MOIK prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Baku Sportinq host MOIK in the Birinci Dasta (Azerbaijan) on 16 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — MOIK to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Baku Sportinq 1–3 MOIK.
Going into the match, Baku Sportinq had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 14. MOIK had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Baku Sportinq's last 10 and 4 of MOIK's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Baku Sportinq averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home MOIK averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.85 goals from Baku Sportinq and 2.13 from MOIK. From that it rates a home win at 13%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 66%, against 26%, 26% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 87%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Baku Sportinq (green) and MOIK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baku Sportinq | LLLLD | 0.80 | 1.40 | 30% | 40% |
| MOIK | WWDLW | 1.40 | 1.10 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Apr 2026 · Baku Sportinq 3–1 MOIK
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
| MOIK Win | 45% | 1.91 |
| MOIK HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Birinci Dasta matches that day
- Karvan vs Cəbrayıl · 16 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Birinci Dasta
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 2–1