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3. Division - Girone 1 · Norway
Bærum vs Ullern prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bærum host Ullern in the 3. Division - Girone 1 (Norway) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Bærum to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bærum 2–1 Ullern.
Going into the match, Bærum had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 22. Ullern had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 27 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Bærum's last 10 and 8 of Ullern's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bærum averaged 3.15 goals scored and 1.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Ullern averaged 2.00 scored and 2.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.95 goals from Bærum and 1.47 from Ullern. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 16%, against 53%, 20% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bærum (green) and Ullern (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.70 |
| Bærum Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| Bærum HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 3. Division - Girone 1 matches that day
- Konnerud vs Asker · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · 3. Division - Girone 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals · FT 2–3 - SF Grei vs Gamle Oslo · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 3. Division - Girone 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals · FT 2–1 - Nordstrand vs Heming · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 3. Division - Girone 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.25 · FT 0–2