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1 Lyga · Lithuania
Babrungas vs Jonava prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Babrungas host Jonava in the 1 Lyga (Lithuania) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Babrungas Win — Babrungas to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Babrungas 2–0 Jonava.
Going into the match, Babrungas had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 7. Jonava had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Babrungas's last 10 and 5 of Jonava's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Babrungas averaged 1.78 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Jonava averaged 2.25 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from Babrungas and 0.42 from Jonava. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 8%, against 62%, 22% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Babrungas (green) and Jonava (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 May 2026 · Jonava 1–1 Babrungas
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| Babrungas Win | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.46 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.77 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
| Babrungas HT & FT | 42% | 2.20 |
| 1-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.