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Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Azerbaijan host Liechtenstein in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Azerbaijan 0–0 Liechtenstein.
Going into the match, Azerbaijan had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Liechtenstein had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 4, with 0 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Azerbaijan's last 4 and 0 of Liechtenstein's last 4; 1 and 0 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Azerbaijan averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Liechtenstein averaged 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 83% for Azerbaijan, 12% for the draw and 5% for Liechtenstein once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Azerbaijan (green) and Liechtenstein (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azerbaijan | DWWL | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50% | 25% |
| Liechtenstein | LLLL | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0% | 0% |
Averages over each side's last 4 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS No | 71% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Azerbaijan HT & FT | 62% | 1.53 |
| Azerbaijan 1st Half Win | 62% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.