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Serie C - Girone C · Italy
AZ Picerno vs Cosenza prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AZ Picerno host Cosenza in the Serie C - Girone C (Italy) on 12 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AZ Picerno 1–2 Cosenza.
Going into the match, AZ Picerno had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 17. Cosenza had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of AZ Picerno's last 10 and 4 of Cosenza's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AZ Picerno averaged 2.29 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Cosenza averaged 0.88 scored and 2.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.35 goals from AZ Picerno and 0.97 from Cosenza. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 13%, against 47%, 28% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AZ Picerno (green) and Cosenza (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Picerno | LWLLL | 1.90 | 1.70 | 80% | 70% |
| Cosenza | LLDLD | 0.70 | 1.90 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Apr 2026 · AZ Picerno 3–1 Cosenza
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
| AZ Picerno Win | 47% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.