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3. Lig - Group 2 · Turkey
Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ayvalikgucu host Karsiyaka in the 3. Lig - Group 2 (Turkey) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Ayvalikgucu to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.26, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ayvalikgucu 0–0 Karsiyaka.
Going into the match, Ayvalikgucu had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 9. Karsiyaka had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Ayvalikgucu's last 10 and 4 of Karsiyaka's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ayvalikgucu averaged 2.71 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Karsiyaka averaged 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Ayvalikgucu and 0.59 from Karsiyaka. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 19%, against 44%, 29% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ayvalikgucu (green) and Karsiyaka (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayvalikgucu | WDDWL | 1.50 | 0.90 | 50% | 50% |
| Karsiyaka | WWWLD | 0.90 | 0.90 | 40% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Apr 2026 · Karsiyaka 0–2 Ayvalikgucu
- 24 Apr 2026 · Ayvalikgucu 0–0 Karsiyaka
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.26 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.79 |
| Ayvalikgucu Win | 43% | 2.05 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 3. Lig - Group 2 matches that day
- Gaziemirspor vs Alanya 1221 FK · 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 3. Lig - Group 2
Published pick: Gaziemirspor Win · FT 1–2 - Bigaspor vs Akşehirspor · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Lig - Group 2
Published pick: Bigaspor Win - Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Uşak Spor · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Lig - Group 2
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 1–1 - Anadolu Üniversitesi vs Nilüfer Belediye · 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · 3. Lig - Group 2
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 1–1 - Etimesgut SK vs Balıkesirspor · 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · 3. Lig - Group 2
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Kepezspor vs Bucaspor 1928 · 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · 3. Lig - Group 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals · FT 1–3