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Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ayutthaya FC vs Lamphun Warrior prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ayutthaya FC host Lamphun Warrior in the Thai League 1 (Thailand) on 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ayutthaya FC 0–2 Lamphun Warrior.
Going into the match, Ayutthaya FC had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 9 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 22. Lamphun Warrior had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 9, with 6 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ayutthaya FC's last 9 and 6 of Lamphun Warrior's last 9; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ayutthaya FC averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Lamphun Warrior averaged 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Ayutthaya FC and 1.40 from Lamphun Warrior. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 42%, against 37%, 28% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ayutthaya FC (green) and Lamphun Warrior (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayutthaya FC | DLWWL | 0.89 | 2.44 | 67% | 67% |
| Lamphun Warrior | LDLLL | 0.67 | 1.56 | 67% | 33% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.