Home › League stats › Championship › Ayr Utd vs Partick
Championship · Scotland
Ayr Utd vs Partick prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ayr Utd host Partick in the Championship (Scotland) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ayr Utd 0–1 Partick.
Going into the match, Ayr Utd had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Partick had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ayr Utd's last 10 and 2 of Partick's last 10; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ayr Utd averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Partick averaged 1.08 scored and 0.85 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.77 goals from Ayr Utd and 1.00 from Partick. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 39%, against 22%, 25% and 53% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 90%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ayr Utd (green) and Partick (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 Sep 2026 · Partick 1–0 Ayr Utd
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Partick Win | 54% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.