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Segunda División · Peru
Ayacucho FC vs Union Comercio prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ayacucho FC host Union Comercio in the Segunda División (Peru) on 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ayacucho FC 1–1 Union Comercio.
Going into the match, Ayacucho FC had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 20. Union Comercio had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Ayacucho FC's last 10 and 3 of Union Comercio's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ayacucho FC averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Union Comercio averaged 0.90 scored and 1.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.86 goals from Ayacucho FC and 1.13 from Union Comercio. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 40%, against 32%, 29% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ayacucho FC (green) and Union Comercio (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayacucho FC | LLWLL | 1.30 | 2.00 | 30% | 40% |
| Union Comercio | WLWLW | 1.60 | 0.70 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Oct 2026 · Union Comercio 5–0 Ayacucho FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Union Comercio Win | 39% | 2.30 |
| 0-1 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División matches that day
- Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Comerciantes · 18 Oct 2026, 20:15 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Bentín Tacna Heroica vs U. San Martin · 18 Oct 2026, 20:15 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Sport Huancayo 2 · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Double Chance X2