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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Avro vs Lancaster City prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Avro host Lancaster City in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 7 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Avro 5–3 Lancaster City.
Going into the match, Avro had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 28 and conceding 17. Lancaster City had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Avro's last 10 and 5 of Lancaster City's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Avro averaged 4.57 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Lancaster City averaged 1.22 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.76 goals from Avro and 1.51 from Lancaster City. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 19%, against 57%, 22% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Avro (green) and Lancaster City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avro | WWLWW | 2.80 | 1.70 | 50% | 60% |
| Lancaster City | WWLLL | 1.10 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.59 |
| Avro Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Avro HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.