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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Avro vs Ashton United prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Avro host Ashton United in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 21 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Avro 3–2 Ashton United.
Going into the match, Avro had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 21. Ashton United had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Avro's last 10 and 6 of Ashton United's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Avro averaged 4.11 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Ashton United averaged 1.67 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.14 goals from Avro and 1.55 from Ashton United. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 27%, against 53%, 23% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Avro (green) and Ashton United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avro | LLLWW | 2.30 | 2.10 | 50% | 50% |
| Ashton United | LDDDD | 1.30 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.60 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Avro Win | 53% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.