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Non League Premier - Isthmian · England
Aveley vs Maldon & Tiptree prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aveley host Maldon & Tiptree in the Non League Premier - Isthmian (England) on 19 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Aveley 1–2 Maldon & Tiptree.
Going into the match, Aveley had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 17. Maldon & Tiptree had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 27 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Aveley's last 10 and 7 of Maldon & Tiptree's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aveley averaged 2.06 goals scored and 2.44 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Maldon & Tiptree averaged 1.25 scored and 3.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.07 goals from Aveley and 1.38 from Maldon & Tiptree. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 14%, against 65%, 20% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Aveley (green) and Maldon & Tiptree (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aveley | WDLLW | 1.80 | 1.70 | 70% | 60% |
| Maldon & Tiptree | DLLLL | 1.00 | 2.70 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Aug 2026 · Maldon & Tiptree 1–0 Aveley
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.23 |
| Aveley Win | 66% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.69 |
| Aveley HT & FT | 46% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.