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Serie B · Brazil

Avai vs Londrina prediction and preview

7 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.36Market probability 69%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Avai host Londrina in the Serie B (Brazil) on 7 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Avai 2–1 Londrina.

Going into the match, Avai had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Londrina had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Avai's last 10 and 5 of Londrina's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Avai averaged 1.29 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Londrina averaged 0.93 scored and 1.71 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Avai and 1.09 from Londrina. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 27%, against 44%, 29% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Avai (green) and Londrina (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form14% – 86%
Attack18% – 82%
Defence47% – 53%
Head-to-head62% – 38%
Goals62% – 38%
Overall strength42% – 57%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
AvaiLLLDL0.901.4050%50%
LondrinaLLLWW1.201.3050%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X74%1.28
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals71%1.33
Over 1.5 Goals69%1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals66%1.44
Under 2.5 Goals57%1.65
Under 10.5 Corners54%1.73
BTTS Yes50%1.83
Avai Win44%2.15

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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