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Liga Nacional · Guatemala
Aurora vs Deportivo San Pedro prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aurora host Deportivo San Pedro in the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) on 18 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Aurora 3–1 Deportivo San Pedro.
Going into the match, Aurora had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 16. Deportivo San Pedro had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Aurora's last 10 and 5 of Deportivo San Pedro's last 10; 8 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aurora averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Deportivo San Pedro averaged 0.29 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.71 goals from Aurora and 0.98 from Deportivo San Pedro. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 20%, against 47%, 33% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Aurora (green) and Deportivo San Pedro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | WWLLW | 1.60 | 1.60 | 80% | 80% |
| Deportivo San Pedro | DWLLD | 1.10 | 1.20 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Aug 2026 · Deportivo San Pedro 2–1 Aurora
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.75 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Aurora Win | 47% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.