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Regionalliga - Bayern · Germany
Aubstadt vs Illertissen prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aubstadt host Illertissen in the Regionalliga - Bayern (Germany) on 13 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Illertissen Win — Illertissen to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Aubstadt 0–0 Illertissen.
Going into the match, Aubstadt had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 19. Illertissen had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Aubstadt's last 10 and 5 of Illertissen's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aubstadt averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Illertissen averaged 2.55 scored and 1.45 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Aubstadt and 2.02 from Illertissen. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 57%, against 16%, 19% and 64% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Aubstadt (green) and Illertissen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubstadt | DLLLL | 0.90 | 1.90 | 40% | 50% |
| Illertissen | DDLWW | 1.60 | 1.60 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.27 |
| Illertissen Win | 64% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.51 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.63 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.79 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 44% | 2.08 |
| 1-2 | 12% | 7.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.