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Premier League · Kazakhstan
Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atyrau host Yelimay Semey in the Premier League (Kazakhstan) on 14 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atyrau 1–2 Yelimay Semey.
Going into the match, Atyrau had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 16. Yelimay Semey had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Atyrau's last 10 and 6 of Yelimay Semey's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atyrau averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Yelimay Semey averaged 1.43 scored and 1.43 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Atyrau and 1.19 from Yelimay Semey. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 38%, against 31%, 25% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atyrau (green) and Yelimay Semey (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atyrau | WLLWL | 0.80 | 1.60 | 50% | 40% |
| Yelimay Semey | LWWLL | 1.20 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jun 2026 · Yelimay Semey 1–2 Atyrau
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
| Yelimay Semey Win | 45% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.