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Ettan - Södra · Sweden
Atvidabergs FF vs Trollhättan prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atvidabergs FF host Trollhättan in the Ettan - Södra (Sweden) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atvidabergs FF 1–1 Trollhättan.
Going into the match, Atvidabergs FF had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 16. Trollhättan had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Atvidabergs FF's last 10 and 5 of Trollhättan's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atvidabergs FF averaged 2.55 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Trollhättan averaged 1.58 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.93 goals from Atvidabergs FF and 1.59 from Trollhättan. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 31%, against 48%, 24% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atvidabergs FF (green) and Trollhättan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atvidabergs FF | WWLWD | 1.80 | 1.60 | 70% | 70% |
| Trollhättan | WWWWW | 2.30 | 1.00 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · Trollhättan 3–3 Atvidabergs FF
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.