Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.48Market probability 63%Final score 2–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Atletico Tucuman host Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Atletico Tucuman 2–3 Rosario Central.

Going into the match, Atletico Tucuman had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Rosario Central had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Atletico Tucuman's last 10 and 5 of Rosario Central's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atletico Tucuman averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Rosario Central averaged 1.13 scored and 1.07 conceded across 15.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.91 goals from Atletico Tucuman and 1.08 from Rosario Central. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 38%, against 31%, 33% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Atletico Tucuman (green) and Rosario Central (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form27% – 73%

Attack40% – 60%

Defence20% – 80%

Head-to-head15% – 85%

Goals30% – 70%

Overall strength28% – 71%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Atletico Tucuman	DLLDL	1.20	0.90	50%	40%
Rosario Central	WDWWW	1.60	0.80	50%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	75%	1.25
Double Chance X2	70%	1.36
Under 2.5 Goals	63%	1.48
Over 1.5 Goals	62%	1.50
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	60%	1.57
BTTS No	56%	1.70
Under 9.5 Corners	56%	1.67
Rosario Central Win	39%	2.60

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.