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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atletico Tucuman host Barracas Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 3 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atletico Tucuman 2–3 Barracas Central.
Going into the match, Atletico Tucuman had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Barracas Central had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Atletico Tucuman's last 10 and 3 of Barracas Central's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atletico Tucuman averaged 0.88 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Barracas Central averaged 0.64 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from Atletico Tucuman and 0.66 from Barracas Central. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 20%, against 50%, 32% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atletico Tucuman (green) and Barracas Central (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Tucuman | LDLWD | 1.00 | 0.70 | 40% | 40% |
| Barracas Central | LDDDL | 0.50 | 1.00 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Atletico Tucuman Win | 50% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.