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Primera División · Uruguay
Atletico Torque vs Danubio prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atletico Torque host Danubio in the Primera División (Uruguay) on 9 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atletico Torque 1–0 Danubio.
Going into the match, Atletico Torque had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 13. Danubio had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Atletico Torque's last 10 and 5 of Danubio's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atletico Torque averaged 1.95 goals scored and 1.16 conceded across 19 matches; away from home Danubio averaged 0.67 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from Atletico Torque and 0.83 from Danubio. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 17%, against 50%, 27% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atletico Torque (green) and Danubio (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Torque | LDLDW | 1.80 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
| Danubio | WLDDD | 0.80 | 1.40 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Sep 2026 · Atletico Torque 2–0 Danubio
- 25 Jul 2026 · Atletico Torque 1–0 Danubio
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Atletico Torque Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.