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CONMEBOL Sudamericana · International
Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atletico Torque host Atletico-MG in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana (International) on 21 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atletico Torque 2–0 Atletico-MG.
Going into the match, Atletico Torque had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 15. Atletico-MG had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Atletico Torque's last 10 and 5 of Atletico-MG's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atletico Torque averaged 1.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 20 matches; away from home Atletico-MG averaged 0.94 scored and 1.22 conceded across 18.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Atletico Torque and 1.42 from Atletico-MG. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 38%, against 30%, 29% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atletico Torque (green) and Atletico-MG (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Torque | LLWLD | 1.60 | 1.50 | 50% | 60% |
| Atletico-MG | WWWDW | 1.70 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Oct 2026 · Atletico-MG 3–0 Atletico Torque
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.