Atlético San Luis W vs Juárez W prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 67%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Atlético San Luis W host Juárez W in the Liga MX Femenil (Mexico) on 18 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Atlético San Luis W 1–2 Juárez W.

Going into the match, Atlético San Luis W had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 16. Juárez W had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Atlético San Luis W's last 10 and 2 of Juárez W's last 10; 7 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atlético San Luis W averaged 2.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Juárez W averaged 1.00 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Atlético San Luis W and 1.37 from Juárez W. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 39%, against 23%, 25% and 52% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Atlético San Luis W (green) and Juárez W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form45% – 55%

Attack47% – 53%

Defence29% – 71%

Head-to-head0% – 100%

Goals15% – 85%

Overall strength38% – 61%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Atlético San Luis W	WDWLW	2.30	1.60	80%	70%
Juárez W	LWWWW	1.40	0.70	20%	20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	78%	1.20
Over 1.5 Goals	76%	1.22
Double Chance 12	75%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	67%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.50
BTTS Yes	55%	1.73
Over 2.5 Goals	54%	1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.