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Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Spain
Atlético Porcuna vs Churriana Vega prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atlético Porcuna host Churriana Vega in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Churriana Vega to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Atlético Porcuna 2–3 Churriana Vega.
Going into the match, Atlético Porcuna had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 9 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 20. Churriana Vega had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Atlético Porcuna's last 9 and 5 of Churriana Vega's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atlético Porcuna averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Churriana Vega averaged 0.83 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Atlético Porcuna and 1.69 from Churriana Vega. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 39%. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atlético Porcuna (green) and Churriana Vega (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Porcuna | LWLWL | 1.11 | 2.22 | 56% | 78% |
| Churriana Vega | LLWLD | 1.10 | 1.30 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.