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Primera Nacional · Argentina
Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atletico Mitre host Colon Santa Fe in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Atletico Mitre to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atletico Mitre 0–0 Colon Santa Fe.
Going into the match, Atletico Mitre had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Colon Santa Fe had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Atletico Mitre's last 10 and 3 of Colon Santa Fe's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atletico Mitre averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Colon Santa Fe averaged 0.85 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.92 goals from Atletico Mitre and 1.01 from Colon Santa Fe. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 35%, against 35%, 33% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atletico Mitre (green) and Colon Santa Fe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Mitre | WLLDD | 0.90 | 1.20 | 30% | 30% |
| Colon Santa Fe | WDWLL | 1.20 | 0.70 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 May 2026 · Colon Santa Fe 1–1 Atletico Mitre
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 68% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.53 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
| Atletico Mitre Win | 35% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.