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Copa do Brasil U20 · Brazil
Atlético Mineiro U20 vs Athletic Club MG U20 prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atlético Mineiro U20 host Athletic Club MG U20 in the Copa do Brasil U20 (Brazil) on 8 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Atlético Mineiro U20 Win — Atlético Mineiro U20 to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atlético Mineiro U20 2–1 Athletic Club MG U20.
Going into the match, Atlético Mineiro U20 had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 32 and conceding 16. Athletic Club MG U20 had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Atlético Mineiro U20's last 10 and 3 of Athletic Club MG U20's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atlético Mineiro U20 averaged 3.62 goals scored and 0.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Athletic Club MG U20 averaged 1.44 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.65 goals from Atlético Mineiro U20 and 0.73 from Athletic Club MG U20. From that it rates a home win at 78%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 7%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atlético Mineiro U20 (green) and Athletic Club MG U20 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Mineiro U20 | WWWLW | 3.20 | 1.60 | 60% | 90% |
| Athletic Club MG U20 | LWDWW | 1.20 | 1.00 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Aug 2026 · Atlético Mineiro U20 3–0 Athletic Club MG U20
- 1 Jun 2026 · Athletic Club MG U20 2–1 Atlético Mineiro U20
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.27 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.51 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.59 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| Atlético Mineiro U20 Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.