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CONMEBOL Sudamericana · International
Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atletico-MG host Atletico Torque in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana (International) on 14 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Atletico-MG Win — Atletico-MG to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atletico-MG 3–0 Atletico Torque.
Going into the match, Atletico-MG had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Atletico Torque had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Atletico-MG's last 10 and 5 of Atletico Torque's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atletico-MG averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Atletico Torque averaged 1.50 scored and 1.25 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.96 goals from Atletico-MG and 0.98 from Atletico Torque. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 17%, against 68%, 23% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atletico-MG (green) and Atletico Torque (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | WDWDW | 1.70 | 1.30 | 70% | 60% |
| Atletico Torque | WLDLD | 1.70 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Atletico-MG Win | 69% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 60% | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.