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Primera División Femenina · Spain
Atletico Madrid W vs Madrid CFF W prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atletico Madrid W host Madrid CFF W in the Primera División Femenina (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atletico Madrid W 4–0 Madrid CFF W.
Going into the match, Atletico Madrid W had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 16. Madrid CFF W had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Atletico Madrid W's last 10 and 5 of Madrid CFF W's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atletico Madrid W averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Madrid CFF W averaged 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.98 goals from Atletico Madrid W and 1.30 from Madrid CFF W. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 13%, against 69%, 18% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atletico Madrid W (green) and Madrid CFF W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid W | WLWLW | 1.60 | 1.60 | 50% | 60% |
| Madrid CFF W | DWLWW | 1.70 | 1.90 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Atletico Madrid W Win | 68% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 44% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.