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Serie D - Girone G · Italy
Atletico Lodigiani vs Sarnese prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atletico Lodigiani host Sarnese in the Serie D - Girone G (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Sarnese to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Atletico Lodigiani 0–1 Sarnese.
Going into the match, Atletico Lodigiani had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 20. Sarnese had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Atletico Lodigiani's last 10 and 8 of Sarnese's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atletico Lodigiani averaged 1.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Sarnese averaged 1.17 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.80 goals from Atletico Lodigiani and 2.08 from Sarnese. From that it rates a home win at 12%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 66%. For the published pick itself the model gives 88%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atletico Lodigiani (green) and Sarnese (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Lodigiani | LLLDL | 1.00 | 2.00 | 50% | 50% |
| Sarnese | WDWWD | 1.70 | 1.20 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.