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Serie B · Brazil
Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atletico Goianiense host America Mineiro in the Serie B (Brazil) on 3 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atletico Goianiense 2–0 America Mineiro.
Going into the match, Atletico Goianiense had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 7. America Mineiro had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Atletico Goianiense's last 10 and 4 of America Mineiro's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atletico Goianiense averaged 1.47 goals scored and 0.76 conceded across 17 matches; away from home America Mineiro averaged 0.73 scored and 2.00 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.72 goals from Atletico Goianiense and 0.50 from America Mineiro. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 9%, against 69%, 20% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atletico Goianiense (green) and America Mineiro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Goianiense | WLWWD | 1.40 | 0.70 | 30% | 40% |
| America Mineiro | LLLWL | 0.70 | 1.90 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Jun 2026 · America Mineiro 1–2 Atletico Goianiense
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Atletico Goianiense Win | 69% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.