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Liga 3 · Portugal
Atlético CP vs Caldas prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atlético CP host Caldas in the Liga 3 (Portugal) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Atlético CP 4–1 Caldas.
Going into the match, Atlético CP had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 8. Caldas had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Atlético CP's last 10 and 5 of Caldas's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atlético CP averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Caldas averaged 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.36 goals from Atlético CP and 0.76 from Caldas. From that it rates a home win at 72%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 9%. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atlético CP (green) and Caldas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético CP | WLWWW | 1.70 | 0.80 | 30% | 50% |
| Caldas | WWLLD | 1.00 | 1.50 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Atlético CP 2–0 Caldas