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Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain
Atlético Baleares vs Mallorca II prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atlético Baleares host Mallorca II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Atlético Baleares Win — Atlético Baleares to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atlético Baleares 2–2 Mallorca II.
Going into the match, Atlético Baleares had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Mallorca II had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Atlético Baleares's last 10 and 4 of Mallorca II's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atlético Baleares averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Mallorca II averaged 1.14 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.78 goals from Atlético Baleares and 0.84 from Mallorca II. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 16%, against 57%, 25% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atlético Baleares (green) and Mallorca II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Baleares | WDLDL | 1.60 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
| Mallorca II | LLWDD | 1.30 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Aug 2026 · Mallorca II 1–3 Atlético Baleares
- 25 Jul 2026 · Atlético Baleares 2–1 Mallorca II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Atlético Baleares Win | 58% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Atlético Baleares HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.