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Liga MX Femenil · Mexico
Atlas W vs León W prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 01:06 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atlas W host León W in the Liga MX Femenil (Mexico) on 23 Oct 2026, 01:06 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atlas W 1–1 León W.
Going into the match, Atlas W had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 18. León W had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Atlas W's last 10 and 4 of León W's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atlas W averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home León W averaged 2.25 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Atlas W and 1.36 from León W. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 39%, against 25%, 26% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atlas W (green) and León W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 80% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.