Home › League stats › Liga MX U21 › Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
Liga MX U21 · Mexico
Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21 prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atlas U21 host Guadalajara Chivas U21 in the Liga MX U21 (Mexico) on 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Guadalajara Chivas U21 to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atlas U21 0–2 Guadalajara Chivas U21.
Going into the match, Atlas U21 had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Guadalajara Chivas U21 had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Atlas U21's last 10 and 6 of Guadalajara Chivas U21's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atlas U21 averaged 1.71 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Guadalajara Chivas U21 averaged 1.11 scored and 0.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Atlas U21 and 1.30 from Guadalajara Chivas U21. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 33%, against 40%, 28% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atlas U21 (green) and Guadalajara Chivas U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas U21 | DLLWW | 1.30 | 1.00 | 30% | 40% |
| Guadalajara Chivas U21 | WLWDW | 1.40 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Guadalajara Chivas U21 1–0 Atlas U21
- 29 Apr 2026 · Atlas U21 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas U21
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.00 |
| Guadalajara Chivas U21 Win | 32% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.