ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 12Odds 1.22Market probability 76%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

ATK Mohun Bagan host Minerva Punjab in the Indian Super League (India) on 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, ATK Mohun Bagan had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 5. Minerva Punjab had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of ATK Mohun Bagan's last 10 and 4 of Minerva Punjab's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ATK Mohun Bagan averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Minerva Punjab averaged 2.00 scored and 0.57 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.80 goals from ATK Mohun Bagan and 0.74 from Minerva Punjab. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 39% and an away win at 29%, against 57%, 23% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between ATK Mohun Bagan (green) and Minerva Punjab (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form46% – 54%

Attack33% – 67%

Defence67% – 33%

Head-to-head93% – 7%

Goals77% – 23%

Overall strength63% – 36%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
ATK Mohun Bagan	WWLWD	1.40	0.50	40%	30%
Minerva Punjab	WDWDW	1.70	1.00	40%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

4 Oct 2026 · ATK Mohun Bagan 0–0 Minerva Punjab

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	78%	1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	73%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	63%	1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	61%	1.53
ATK Mohun Bagan Win	59%	1.60
Over 2.5 Goals	58%	1.62
Under 10.5 Corners	57%	1.63

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.