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IFA Shield · India
ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
ATK Mohun Bagan host East Bengal II in the IFA Shield (India) on 8 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — ATK Mohun Bagan to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.83, which the bookmaker market rated at about 50% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: ATK Mohun Bagan 1–0 East Bengal II.
Going into the match, ATK Mohun Bagan had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 9 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 6. East Bengal II had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of ATK Mohun Bagan's last 9 and 7 of East Bengal II's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ATK Mohun Bagan averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home East Bengal II averaged 2.17 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from ATK Mohun Bagan and 1.13 from East Bengal II. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 35%, against 24%, 26% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between ATK Mohun Bagan (green) and East Bengal II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATK Mohun Bagan | DDWWD | 1.67 | 0.67 | 56% | 33% |
| East Bengal II | WLWDD | 2.10 | 1.00 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · ATK Mohun Bagan 1–1 East Bengal II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| East Bengal II HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.