Home › League stats › First Division › Athlone Town vs Treaty United
First Division · Ireland
Athlone Town vs Treaty United prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Athlone Town host Treaty United in the First Division (Ireland) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Athlone Town 1–2 Treaty United.
Going into the match, Athlone Town had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 13. Treaty United had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Athlone Town's last 10 and 4 of Treaty United's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Athlone Town averaged 1.46 goals scored and 0.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Treaty United averaged 0.83 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Athlone Town and 0.72 from Treaty United. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 19%, against 66%, 22% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Athlone Town (green) and Treaty United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athlone Town | WDWDW | 2.00 | 1.30 | 70% | 80% |
| Treaty United | LWLWL | 0.90 | 1.70 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Jul 2026 · Treaty United 2–1 Athlone Town
- 8 May 2026 · Athlone Town 0–0 Treaty United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Athlone Town Win | 65% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.